September 30, 2023

Week in Review: PICSS Security Assessment (Sep 22 – Sep 29) Highlights

After witnessing an uptick in violence in previous weeks, a trend of reduction in violence was observed. No militant attack in erstwhile FATA is significant and could be possibly a manifestation of increased pressure on Afghan Taliban and TTP being exerted by Pakistan. 

In the lead-up to the upcoming elections, political manoeuvring has gained momentum with various political parties considering options of making alliances. PML-N is confronted with a pivotal decision, torn between adopting an anti-establishment stance that resonates with the public and maintaining relations with the establishment. The fate of PTI and its leader, Imran Khan, hangs in the balance as legal proceedings intensify, casting uncertainty on the party’s future. 

Meanwhile, the spotlight has returned to the Supreme Court, set to review the verdict of the Faizabad Dharna case. Chief Justice Qazi Faez Isa emphasized the urgency of implementing the earlier verdict, suggesting it could have averted subsequent serious incidents. A future confrontation between the judiciary and the establishment appears likely, underscored by a recent petition seeking clarification on the army chief’s role.

The Council of Islamic Ideology (CII) called for special courts to expedite trials for cases like the Jaranwala incident. This underscores a societal shift towards addressing religious intolerance and violence, emphasizing the importance of upholding the rule of law. Additionally, there is a pressing need to safeguard the rights of the Ahmadiyya community.

On the regional front, Pakistan has exerted pressure on the interim Afghan government by closing the Torkham border and announcing the repatriation of 1.1 million illegal Afghan refugees. This move is aimed at asserting influence over the Taliban government, which is already grappling with economic challenges. Reports suggest the Taliban has taken steps to address Pakistan’s security concerns, potentially indicating a degree of compliance.

To access the complete security assessment report
(22 Sep – 29 Sep)

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