Violence returns predicting militants more confident!


The week from June 28,2015 to July 4,2015  witnessed increase in militant activities and resultant deaths. Although it is not clear whether the incident in Gujranwala, where a train carrying army men and their families fell into canal, was an act of militancy as it was claimed by an unknown outfit Majlas-e-Askari purported to be affiliated with TTP or it was due to some technical fault or due to bridge yet other incidents and resultant deaths also point to the fact that violence during the week has increased. Militants have increased their attack on security forces suggesting an increase in their confidence level. Attacks on security forces were monitored not only FATA but also in Balcohistan and Karachi.

One of the most significant development in Balochistan was intra-militant clash between Balochistan Liberation Army and the United Baloch Army near the border of Kohlu and Dera Bugti districts. This could be a beginning of an end if intra-militant clashes continued as it will weaken ongoing low-level insurgency in the province. On same day during a clash in Awaran district, security forces gunned downed 13 militants belonging Balochistan Liberation Front including nephew and brother of Dr Allah Nazar who heads BLF.

Security forces have reportedly concluded operation Khyber-II while securing most part of the agency. Military had gained control of strategically important areas and had also taken control of the three passes from Afghanistan into Tirah, which will restrict militants’ movement into Afghanistan and back. Military has also completed initial phase of its operation in Shawal valley while seizing some important peaks but still lot of work is required to completely clear the valley.

Another important development during the week was reported killing of Al-Qaeda chief along with three of his accomplices during a raid by police in Kala Shah Kaku area of Sheikhupura district (Punjab). Punjab Home Minister Shuja Khanzada claimed that the killed militants had a plan to target IB offices in Lahore. On the other, KPK police made some arrests in Peshawar and recovered literature of Islamic State.